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Engineering / Milestone

Quantum Factoring of RSA-2048

When can a quantum computer actually factor a 2,048-bit RSA modulus?

The source trail 1

Findings, with context
DiscussionSep 16, 2026

IonQ discusses the shrinking resource estimates for quantum attacks

Simon Patkovic surveys changing estimates for RSA-2048 attacks and their implications for planning. This is industry commentary on resource estimates, not a demonstration of factoring.

Projected hardware requirements depend on assumptions. They do not establish that such a machine exists.
Simon PatkovicOriginal source · Found Sep 19
IonQ